The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)The commander of Syrian democratic forces said that under the mediation of the US, Syrian rebels and Syrian democratic forces reached a ceasefire agreement in the northern city of Mambiji.The belief of high dividend has made a comeback. The dividend-themed ETF "gained weight". Recently, the dividend-themed ETF "gained good news frequently". The fund size of Huatai Bairui Dividend ETF and Huatai Bairui Dividend Low Wave ETF, the two largest dividend theme ETFs in the whole market, exceeded the 20 billion yuan and 10 billion yuan mark respectively. Huatai Berry dividend ETF has become the first dividend-themed ETF with a scale of 20 billion in the whole market. In recent years, dividend assets have attracted market attention, and the scale of dividend-themed ETF funds has doubled this year, and it has now exceeded 84 billion yuan. The institution believes that non-bank finance, real estate chain and domestic demand expansion related sectors are expected to have relative returns in the near future, and the investment sentiment in pro-cyclical sectors at the end of the year may improve, the market style may be more balanced, and dividend assets still have the value of bottom allocation. (china securities journal)
The listing in Hong Kong heats up. Many listed companies have started the "A+H" mode, and the policy warm wind is blowing frequently. More and more A-share companies are planning to issue H shares and start the "A+H" dual-capital operation platform mode. According to incomplete statistics, at least seven A-share companies have disclosed plans to issue H-shares this year. Since December alone, Hengrui Pharma, Junsheng Electronics and other listed companies have announced plans to go public in Hong Kong. Previously, Midea Group, SF Holdings and other leading A-share companies have successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Zhang Shujian, head and managing director of the capital market department of Futeng Capital, believes that the "A+H" model increases the flexibility of listing financing by building a platform for listing in two places, and at the same time introduces international long-term investors, which is conducive to optimizing the shareholder structure. In addition, since the beginning of this year, the China Securities Regulatory Commission and the Exchange have issued relevant policies to support A-share companies to go public in Hong Kong, which has driven this round of "A+H" craze. (SSE)The EU plans to issue up to 90 billion euros of long-term bonds in the first half of 2025.The U.S. stock Seven Sisters | Google A closed up about 5.6%, and the breakthrough of quantum chip Willow was remarkable. NVIDIA fell by 2.7%. On Tuesday (December 10th), in Magnificent 7, Google's parent company Alphabet(GOOGL) closed up 5.59%-leading the S&P 500 telecom sector, and the biggest one-day increase since April. Approaching the record closing price of $190.71 on July 10, investors pay attention to the company's latest quantum computing chip Willow, which has achieved amazing results in the benchmark test; Tesla rose 2.87%, Meta Platforms rose over 0.9%, Apple rose over 0.4% and continued to hit a record closing high, Amazon fell over 0.4%, Microsoft fell 0.6% and NVIDIA fell 2.69%. In addition, Berkshire Hathaway Class B shares closed down 0.3%, Lilly Pharmaceuticals fell 0.5%, AMD fell 2.39%, and TSMC ADR fell 3.63%.
CFO of OpenAI: I believe Musk will put national interests first, and IPO is a milestone in the development of startups.CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand.Iran calls on the United Nations to protect the safety of its diplomats in Syria. According to a report by the Islamic Republic of Iran News Agency on the 10th local time, Iravani, Iran's representative to the United Nations, urged the UN Security Council and the UN Secretary-General to condemn the recent attacks on Iranian diplomats in Syria. Iravani also called on the United Nations and the Security Council to take measures to ensure the safety of diplomats and prevent possible attacks. (CCTV)